PolymarketOpen

Fight to Go the Distance?

Yes50%

No50%

Price checked at Oct 2, 03:33 AM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$6.2

Spread94%

ResolvesOct 11, 2026in 9 days

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Brendan Allen and Christian Leroy Duncan at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan, scheduled for October 10, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 24, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Sourcehttps://www.ufc.com/events

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will the fight end before Round 5?	Polymarket	50% Yes	—	—	—	Open
Will the fight be won by decision?	Polymarket	50% No	—	—	—	Open
O/U 0.5 Rounds	Polymarket	50% Under	—	—	—	Open
O/U 3.5 Rounds	Polymarket	50% Under	—	—	—	Open
Will Brendan Allen win by KO or TKO?	Polymarket	50% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Brendan Allen win in Round 3?	Polymarket	50% Yes	—	—	—	Open
Will the fight be won by submission?	Polymarket	50% No	—	—	—	Open
Will the fight end in a decision or draw?	Polymarket	50% Yes	—	—	—	Open
Will Christian Leroy Duncan win in Round 1?	Polymarket	50% Yes	—	—	—	Open
Will Christian Leroy Duncan win by KO or TKO?	Polymarket	50% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Brendan Allen win in Round 1?	Polymarket	50% No	—	—	—	Open
Will the fight end before Round 3?	Polymarket	50% Yes	—	—	—	Open
Will Brendan Allen win in Round 5?	Polymarket	50% No	—	—	—	Open
Will the fight end before Round 4?	Polymarket	50% Yes	—	—	—	Open
O/U 1.5 Rounds	Polymarket	50% Over	—	—	—	Open
O/U 4.5 Rounds	Polymarket	50% Over	—	—	—	Open
Will Christian Leroy Duncan win in Round 5?	Polymarket	50% Yes	—	—	—	Open
Will Brendan Allen win in Round 4?	Polymarket	50% Yes	—	—	—	Open
Will the fight end before Round 2?	Polymarket	50% Yes	—	—	—	Open
O/U 2.5 Rounds	Polymarket	50% Under	—	—	—	Open
Will Christian Leroy Duncan win in Round 4?	Polymarket	50% Yes	—	—	—	Open
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?	Polymarket	50% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Christian Leroy Duncan win in Round 2?	Polymarket	50% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Christian Leroy Duncan win in Round 3?	Polymarket	50% Yes	—	—	—	Open
Will Brendan Allen win in Round 2?	Polymarket	50% Yes	—	—	—	Open

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As of Oct 2, 04:19 AM UTC