Will "Patient Zero" hit 55m first week streams?
Price checked at
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
"Patient Zero" (Taylor Swift) releases September 25, 2026 as part of "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore." This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Patient Zero"'s cumulative global Spotify streams from its release date (September 25, 2026) through the end of its first week (October 1, 2026) are greater than or equal to the specified amount, as displayed at 12:00 PM ET on October 2, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be Spotify's official charts. If this resolution source is unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g. Billboard, Luminate) may be used instead. If there is no reliable streaming figure available by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Patient Zero" hit 65m first week streams? | Polymarket | 98% No | Open |
| Will "Patient Zero" hit 47m first week streams? | Polymarket | — | Open |
| Will "Patient Zero" hit 43m first week streams? | Polymarket | — | Open |
| Will "Patient Zero" hit 35m first week streams? | Polymarket | 100% Yes | Open |
| Will "Patient Zero" hit 50m first week streams? | Polymarket | 82% No | Open |
| Will "Patient Zero" hit 90m first week streams? | Polymarket | 98% No | Open |
| Will "Patient Zero" hit 40m first week streams? | Polymarket | 95% Yes | Open |
| Will "Patient Zero" hit 70m first week streams? | Polymarket | 99% No | Open |
| Will "Patient Zero" hit 100m first week streams? | Polymarket | 99% No | Open |
| Will "Patient Zero" hit 80m first week streams? | Polymarket | 98% No | Open |
| Will "Patient Zero" hit 45m first week streams? | Polymarket | 79% No | Open |
| Will "Patient Zero" hit 60m first week streams? | Polymarket | 98% No | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue this minuteDiscussion on Predxy
What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.Sign in to join the discussion.
Nobody has said anything here yet.
As of Sep 29, 09:15 PM UTC