Top Open Source AI this week? Google
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If Google is the Highest Ranked model on Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index (Open Source) on Oct 2, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Tied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them. If multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top Open Source AI this week? Xiaomi | Kalshi | 89% Xiaomi | Open |
| Top Open Source AI this week? Meta | Kalshi | 98% No | Open |
| Top Open Source AI this week? Mistral | Kalshi | 98% No | Open |
| Top Open Source AI this week? MiniMax | Kalshi | 98% No | Open |
| Top Open Source AI this week? Cohere | Kalshi | 98% No | Open |
| Top Open Source AI this week? Kimi | Kalshi | 96% No | Open |
| Top Open Source AI this week? GLM | Kalshi | 88% No | Open |
| Top Open Source AI this week? DeepSeek | Kalshi | 97% No | Open |
| Top Open Source AI this week? Alibaba | Kalshi | 97% No | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Sep 29, 11:14 PM UTC