Will Germany vs Serbia end in a draw?

No86%
Yes15%

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ResolvesOct 2, 2026in 2 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 26Sep 27Sep 28Sep 29Sep 30

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "YES" if the match specified in the title ends in a draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "YES." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. Polymarket, Limitless, and Kalshi differ in their handling of cancellation, rescheduling, and fallback settlement, and use different or unspecified data sources. These resolution-rule differences do not change the underlying question.
  • PolymarketOpen →

    Will Germany vs. Serbia end in a draw?

    In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 1, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

  • KalshiOpen →

    Germany vs Serbia: Tie is the result

    If Tie is the result of the Germany vs Serbia professional UEFA Nations League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 1, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Germany vs Serbia professional UEFA Nations League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 1, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

  • Limitlessthis market

    Will Germany vs Serbia end in a draw?

    This market will resolve to "YES" if the match specified in the title ends in a draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "YES." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

    0 holders · read Sep 30, 06:42 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Germany vs Serbia: Germany winsLimitless80% YesOpen
Germany vs Serbia: Serbia winsLimitless93% NoOpen

Venue activity

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Best bid 14% · best ask 16%

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As of Sep 30, 10:26 AM UTC