PolymarketOpen

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?

No100%
Yes0%

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24h volume$426.9
7d volume$5.5K
30d volume$5.5K
Liquidity$10.7K
Spread0%
ResolvesOct 6, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 26Sep 27Sep 28Sep 28Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 29 12:00 PM ET to October 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Sourcehttps://x.com/elonmusk

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?Polymarket75% NoOpen
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?Polymarket80% NoOpen
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?Polymarket94% NoOpen
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?Polymarket88% NoOpen
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?Polymarket91% NoOpen
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?Polymarket82% NoOpen
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen

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As of Sep 29, 10:23 PM UTC