KalshiOpen

Continuing jobless claims for the week ending Sep 19, 2026: Will U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Sep 19, 2026 be at least 1760K?

No95%
At least 1760K5%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread8%
ResolvesOct 8, 2026in 8 days

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Sep 19, 2026 is at least 1760K, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the advance seasonally adjusted insured unemployment figure reported by the U.S. Department of Labor’s Employment and Training Administration in its Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report for the week ending Sep 19, 2026. The market will use the advance figure first published for the specified week. The following week's revision will not affect resolution.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Continuing jobless claims for the week ending Sep 19, 2026: Will U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Sep 19, 2026 be at least 1690K?Kalshi93% At least 1690KOpen
Continuing jobless claims for the week ending Sep 19, 2026: Will U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Sep 19, 2026 be at least 1720K?Kalshi60% NoOpen
Continuing jobless claims for the week ending Sep 19, 2026: Will U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Sep 19, 2026 be at least 1750K?Kalshi90% NoOpen
Continuing jobless claims for the week ending Sep 19, 2026: Will U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Sep 19, 2026 be at least 1740K?Kalshi84% NoOpen
Continuing jobless claims for the week ending Sep 19, 2026: Will U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Sep 19, 2026 be at least 1700K?Kalshi80% At least 1700KOpen
Continuing jobless claims for the week ending Sep 19, 2026: Will U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Sep 19, 2026 be at least 1710K?Kalshi58% At least 1710KOpen
Continuing jobless claims for the week ending Sep 19, 2026: Will U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Sep 19, 2026 be at least 1730K?Kalshi76% NoOpen
Continuing jobless claims for the week ending Sep 19, 2026: Will U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Sep 19, 2026 be at least 1680K?Kalshi98% At least 1680KOpen
Continuing jobless claims for the week ending Sep 19, 2026: Will U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Sep 19, 2026 be at least 1770K?Kalshi96% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Sep 30, 11:49 PM UTC