KalshiOpen

Gold price on October 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4125.99 USD/t.oz on October 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4125.99

Above $4125.9973%
No27%

Price checked at

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24h volume$283.1
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread3%
ResolvesOct 2, 2026in 2 days

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 26Sep 27Sep 28Sep 29Sep 30Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 4125.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. For example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM. If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Gold price on October 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4265.99 USD/t.oz on October 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4265.99Kalshi85% NoOpen
Gold price on October 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4025.99 USD/t.oz on October 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4025.99Kalshi96% Above $4025.99Open
Gold price on October 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4145.99 USD/t.oz on October 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4145.99Kalshi64% Above $4145.99Open
Gold price on October 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4165.99 USD/t.oz on October 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4165.99Kalshi64% Above $4165.99Open
Gold price on October 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4065.99 USD/t.oz on October 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4065.99Kalshi92% Above $4065.99Open
Gold price on October 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4045.99 USD/t.oz on October 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4045.99Kalshi94% Above $4045.99Open
Gold price on October 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 3985.99 USD/t.oz on October 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3985.99Kalshi95% Above $3985.99Open
Gold price on October 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4085.99 USD/t.oz on October 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4085.99Kalshi86% Above $4085.99Open
Gold price on October 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4285.99 USD/t.oz on October 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4285.99Kalshi86% NoOpen
Gold price on October 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4105.99 USD/t.oz on October 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4105.99Kalshi73% Above $4105.99Open
Gold price on October 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4185.99 USD/t.oz on October 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4185.99Kalshi55% Above $4185.99Open
Gold price on October 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4225.99 USD/t.oz on October 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4225.99Kalshi62% NoOpen
Gold price on October 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4205.99 USD/t.oz on October 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4205.99Kalshi52% NoOpen
Gold price on October 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4325.99 USD/t.oz on October 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4325.99Kalshi92% NoOpen
Gold price on October 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4465.99 USD/t.oz on October 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4465.99Kalshi99% NoOpen
Gold price on October 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4485.99 USD/t.oz on October 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4485.99Kalshi99% NoOpen
Gold price on October 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4525.99 USD/t.oz on October 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4525.99Kalshi98% NoOpen
Gold price on October 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4505.99 USD/t.oz on October 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4505.99Kalshi98% NoOpen
Gold price on October 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4345.99 USD/t.oz on October 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4345.99Kalshi98% NoOpen
Gold price on October 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 4005.99 USD/t.oz on October 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $4005.99Kalshi96% Above $4005.99Open
Gold price on October 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 3925.99 USD/t.oz on October 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3925.99Kalshi99% Above $3925.99Open
Gold price on October 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 3945.99 USD/t.oz on October 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3945.99Kalshi98% Above $3945.99Open
Gold price on October 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 3965.99 USD/t.oz on October 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3965.99Kalshi97% Above $3965.99Open
Gold price on October 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 3905.99 USD/t.oz on October 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3905.99Kalshi99% Above $3905.99Open
Gold price on October 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?: Will the gold close price be above 3885.99 USD/t.oz on October 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Above $3885.99Kalshi99% Above $3885.99Open

Venue activity

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Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
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As of Sep 30, 12:06 PM UTC