KalshiOpen

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/28 - 10/4): Will there be more than 20 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Sep 28, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026? Above 20

Above 2079%

No21%

Price checked at Sep 29, 10:10 PM UTC

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24h volume$2.3K

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread1%

ResolvesOct 6, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 20 from Sep 28, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Sep 28, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/28 - 10/4): Will there be more than 100 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Sep 28, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026? Above 100	Kalshi	99% No	$7.4K	—	—	Open
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/28 - 10/4): Will there be more than 10 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Sep 28, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026? Above 10	Kalshi	97% Above 10	$3.5K	—	—	Open
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/28 - 10/4): Will there be more than 75 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Sep 28, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026? Above 75	Kalshi	98% No	$3.2K	—	—	Open
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/28 - 10/4): Will there be more than 30 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Sep 28, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026? Above 30	Kalshi	87% No	$2.1K	—	—	Open
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/28 - 10/4): Will there be more than 25 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Sep 28, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026? Above 25	Kalshi	56% No	$1.4K	—	—	Open
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/28 - 10/4): Will there be more than 50 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Sep 28, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026? Above 50	Kalshi	98% No	$1.2K	—	—	Open
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/28 - 10/4): Will there be more than 35 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Sep 28, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026? Above 35	Kalshi	91% No	$1.2K	—	—	Open
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/28 - 10/4): Will there be more than 15 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Sep 28, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026? Above 15	Kalshi	94% Above 15	$781.9	—	—	Open
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/28 - 10/4): Will there be more than 45 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Sep 28, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026? Above 45	Kalshi	96% No	$36.4	—	—	Open
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/28 - 10/4): Will there be more than 40 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Sep 28, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026? Above 40	Kalshi	95% No	$5.2	—	—	Open

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As of Sep 29, 10:27 PM UTC