KalshiOpen

Traffic through the Panama Canal? (9/28 - 10/4): Will there be more than 200 transit calls through the Panama Canal from Sep 28, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026? Above 200

No66%
Above 20034%

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24h volume$891
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread11%
ResolvesOct 6, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 26Sep 27Sep 27Sep 28Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the number of transit calls through the Panama Canal as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 200 from Sep 28, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Sep 28, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

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As of Sep 29, 10:48 PM UTC