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When will Canada announce a snap election?: Will Canada announce a snap election before Jul 1, 2028?

No54%
Before Jul 1, 202846%

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24h volume$0
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Spread8%
ResolvesJul 1, 2028in 2 years

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 25Sep 26Sep 27Sep 28Sep 30

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Canada officially announces a snap election for its national legislature or head of government before Jul 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. A "snap election" is a national election for the legislature or head of government called to occur at least 90 days earlier than either the previously scheduled election date or the latest constitutionally or legally required date. The announcement must be made by a person or body with the legal authority to call such elections, must specify an actual election date, and must occur after Issuance, regardless of when the election is scheduled to take place. This market concerns a general election to the House of Commons. By-elections to fill individual vacancies do not qualify.

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As of Sep 30, 02:53 AM UTC