KalshiOpen

Midterms: Republican share of Latino vote?: Will Republicans receive above 34% of the Latino vote in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?

No55%

Above 34%45%

Price checked at Oct 1, 06:26 AM UTC

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24h volume$0

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread9%

ResolvesFeb 6, 2027in 4 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the Republican share of the Latino vote in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll is above 34%, then the market resolves to Yes. The value is the percentage shown in the Republican (or Rep.) column of the aggregate Latino (or Hispanic) row in the national U.S. House exit poll table. The primary resolution source is the CNN figure displayed at exactly 12:00 PM ET on November 6, 2026. If unavailable, CNN remains the primary source for 24 hours after that time. If it remains unavailable, use CBS News followed by ABC News through 11:59 PM ET on November 7, 2026.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Midterms: Republican share of Latino vote?: Will Republicans receive above 46% of the Latino vote in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?	Kalshi	74% No	$0	—	—	Open
Midterms: Republican share of Latino vote?: Will Republicans receive above 44% of the Latino vote in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?	Kalshi	75% No	$0	—	—	Open
Midterms: Republican share of Latino vote?: Will Republicans receive above 42% of the Latino vote in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?	Kalshi	74% No	$0	—	—	Open
Midterms: Republican share of Latino vote?: Will Republicans receive above 38% of the Latino vote in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?	Kalshi	68% No	$0	—	—	Open
Midterms: Republican share of Latino vote?: Will Republicans receive above 32% of the Latino vote in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?	Kalshi	51% Above 32%	$0	—	—	Open
Midterms: Republican share of Latino vote?: Will Republicans receive above 40% of the Latino vote in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?	Kalshi	74% No	$0	—	—	Open
Midterms: Republican share of Latino vote?: Will Republicans receive above 36% of the Latino vote in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?	Kalshi	62% No	$0	—	—	Open
Midterms: Republican share of Latino vote?: Will Republicans receive above 30% of the Latino vote in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?	Kalshi	67% Above 30%	$0	—	—	Open
Midterms: Republican share of Latino vote?: Will Republicans receive above 28% of the Latino vote in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?	Kalshi	84% Above 28%	$0	—	—	Open

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As of Oct 1, 08:17 AM UTC