Midterms: Democratic share of 2024 Trump voters?: Will Democrats receive above 10% of the vote among 2024 Trump voters in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?
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Resolution rules
If the Democratic share of the vote among 2024 Trump voters in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll is above 10%, then the market resolves to Yes. The value is the percentage shown in the Democratic (or Dem.) column of the row for voters who say they voted for Donald Trump in the 2024 presidential election in the national U.S. House exit poll table. The primary resolution source is the CNN figure displayed at exactly 12:00 PM ET on November 6, 2026. If unavailable, CNN remains the primary source for 24 hours after that time. If it remains unavailable, use CBS News followed by ABC News through 11:59 PM ET on November 7, 2026.
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As of Oct 1, 01:58 PM UTC