Alma Thomas: Red Mums Display (lot 108) sale price?: Will the lot sold price of the Red Mums Display (lot 108) by Alma Thomas on Sotheby's be above $500000 during the live auction beginning October 7, 2026 at 11:00 AM EDT (Contemporary Curated, sale N12254)? Above $500K
Price checked at
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If the lot sold price of the Red Mums Display (lot 108) by Alma Thomas on Sotheby's is above $500K during the live auction beginning October 7, 2026 at 11:00 AM EDT (Contemporary Curated, sale N12254), then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from the amount displayed under “Lot Sold” on the Sotheby’s website. If the value is reported in a currency other than USD, it will be converted to USD using the prevailing exchange rate. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Sotheby’s. Any references to Sotheby’s, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Sotheby’s and Kalshi.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.Venue activity
Read from the venue this minuteDiscussion on Predxy
What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.Sign in to join the discussion.
Nobody has said anything here yet.
As of Sep 30, 12:50 PM UTC