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Hurricane Lala category?: Will Lala become a Category 4 hurricane? Category 4 or above

Category 4 or above86%
No14%

Price checked at

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24h volume$206
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread17%
ResolvesDec 1, 2026in 2 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 25Sep 26Sep 27Sep 28Sep 29

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Lala reaches maximum sustained winds of greater than or equal to 130 mph, then the market resolves to Yes. Should the event occur prior to December 01, 2026, the market will expire at the first 10:00 AM ET following the occurrence of the event.

Other legs of this event

Venue activity

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Held value—
Trades (24h)—
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Open interest—
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As of Sep 29, 10:12 PM UTC