KalshiOpen

Will US new home sales for September 2026 be above 740,000?

No88%

Above 740,00012%

Price checked at Sep 29, 09:14 PM UTC

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24h volume$0

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread6%

ResolvesNov 3, 2026next month

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If US new home sales (New Residential Sales) for September 2026 (seasonally adjusted annual rate, SAAR, reported in thousands of homes) is above 740,000, then the market resolves to Yes.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will US new home sales for September 2026 be above 620,000?	Kalshi	82% Above 620,000	$5	—	—	Open
Will US new home sales for September 2026 be above 640,000?	Kalshi	68% Above 640,000	$0	—	—	Open
Will US new home sales for September 2026 be above 720,000?	Kalshi	96% No	$0	—	—	Open
Will US new home sales for September 2026 be above 660,000?	Kalshi	52% Above 660,000	$0	—	—	Open
Will US new home sales for September 2026 be above 700,000?	Kalshi	82% No	$0	—	—	Open
Will US new home sales for September 2026 be above 680,000?	Kalshi	63% No	$0	—	—	Open
Will US new home sales for September 2026 be above 600,000?	Kalshi	97% Above 600,000	$0	—	—	Open

Venue activity

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As of Sep 29, 09:20 PM UTC