KalshiOpen

US new home · Median sales price in September: Will Median Sales Price for New Houses Sold in the United States (MSPNHSUS) for September 2026 be above $395,000?

No54%

Above $395,00046%

Price checked at Sep 30, 08:50 AM UTC

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24h volume$0

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread10%

ResolvesNov 3, 2026next month

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the Median Sales Price for New Houses Sold in the United States (MSPNHSUS) for September 2026 is above $395,000, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the first value published by FRED for the September 2026 observation of Median Sales Price for New Houses Sold in the United States (MSPNHSUS), stated in U.S. dollars, not seasonally adjusted.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
US new home · Median sales price in September: Will Median Sales Price for New Houses Sold in the United States (MSPNHSUS) for September 2026 be above $410,000?	Kalshi	84% No	$0	—	—	Open
US new home · Median sales price in September: Will Median Sales Price for New Houses Sold in the United States (MSPNHSUS) for September 2026 be above $420,000?	Kalshi	92% No	$0	—	—	Open
US new home · Median sales price in September: Will Median Sales Price for New Houses Sold in the United States (MSPNHSUS) for September 2026 be above $415,000?	Kalshi	89% No	$0	—	—	Open
US new home · Median sales price in September: Will Median Sales Price for New Houses Sold in the United States (MSPNHSUS) for September 2026 be above $405,000?	Kalshi	72% No	$0	—	—	Open
US new home · Median sales price in September: Will Median Sales Price for New Houses Sold in the United States (MSPNHSUS) for September 2026 be above $400,000?	Kalshi	63% No	$0	—	—	Open
US new home · Median sales price in September: Will Median Sales Price for New Houses Sold in the United States (MSPNHSUS) for September 2026 be above $390,000?	Kalshi	63% Above $390,000	$0	—	—	Open
US new home · Median sales price in September: Will Median Sales Price for New Houses Sold in the United States (MSPNHSUS) for September 2026 be above $385,000?	Kalshi	73% Above $385,000	$0	—	—	Open
US new home · Median sales price in September: Will Median Sales Price for New Houses Sold in the United States (MSPNHSUS) for September 2026 be above $380,000?	Kalshi	82% Above $380,000	$0	—	—	Open
US new home · Median sales price in September: Will Median Sales Price for New Houses Sold in the United States (MSPNHSUS) for September 2026 be above $375,000?	Kalshi	89% Above $375,000	$0	—	—	Open
US new home · Median sales price in September: Will Median Sales Price for New Houses Sold in the United States (MSPNHSUS) for September 2026 be above $370,000?	Kalshi	94% Above $370,000	$0	—	—	Open
US new home · Median sales price in September: Will Median Sales Price for New Houses Sold in the United States (MSPNHSUS) for September 2026 be above $365,000?	Kalshi	97% Above $365,000	$0	—	—	Open

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As of Sep 30, 09:04 AM UTC