KalshiResolved

Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.49% on Sep 25, 2026? 5.5% or above

No99%

5.5% or above1%

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24h volume$2.4K

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread—

ResolvesSep 25, 20267 days ago

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.49% on Sep 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Sep 25, 2026, or one week following Sep 25, 2026.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.51% on Sep 25, 2026? 5.52% or above	Kalshi	98% No	$1.7K	—	—	Open
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.53% on Sep 25, 2026? 5.54% or above	Kalshi	99% No	$688.2	—	—	Open
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.47% on Sep 25, 2026? 5.48% or above	Kalshi	98% 5.48% or above	$677.6	—	—	Open
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.43% on Sep 25, 2026? 5.44% or above	Kalshi	99% 5.44% or above	$245	—	—	Open
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.45% on Sep 25, 2026? 5.46% or above	Kalshi	91% 5.46% or above	$178.6	—	—	Open
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.41% on Sep 25, 2026? 5.42% or above	Kalshi	99% 5.42% or above	$75	—	—	Open
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.33% on Sep 25, 2026? 5.34% or above	Kalshi	97% 5.34% or above	$5	—	—	Open
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.55% on Sep 25, 2026? 5.56% or above	Kalshi	94% No	$2	—	—	Open
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.31% on Sep 25, 2026? 5.32% or above	Kalshi	99% 5.32% or above	$0	—	—	Open
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.39% on Sep 25, 2026? 5.4% or above	Kalshi	74% 5.4% or above	$0	—	—	Open
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.25% on Sep 25, 2026? 5.26% or above	Kalshi	81% 5.26% or above	$0	—	—	Open
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.35% on Sep 25, 2026? 5.36% or above	Kalshi	84% 5.36% or above	$0	—	—	Open
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.29% on Sep 25, 2026? 5.3% or above	Kalshi	79% 5.3% or above	$0	—	—	Open
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.37% on Sep 25, 2026? 5.38% or above	Kalshi	88% 5.38% or above	$0	—	—	Open
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.27% on Sep 25, 2026? 5.28% or above	Kalshi	55% No	$0	—	—	Open
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.15% on Sep 25, 2026? 5.16% or above	Kalshi	—	$0	—	—	Open
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.23% on Sep 25, 2026? 5.24% or above	Kalshi	85% 5.24% or above	$0	—	—	Open
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.19% on Sep 25, 2026? 5.2% or above	Kalshi	98% 5.2% or above	$0	—	—	Open
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.21% on Sep 25, 2026? 5.22% or above	Kalshi	69% 5.22% or above	$0	—	—	Open
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.17% on Sep 25, 2026? 5.18% or above	Kalshi	—	$0	—	—	Open

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As of Oct 2, 12:52 PM UTC