KalshiOpen

Midterms: which party wins men?: Will Republicans win men in the exit poll? Republican party

Republican party99%
No1%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread93%
ResolvesNov 8, 2026next month

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 25Sep 26Sep 27Sep 29Sep 30Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the Republican Party wins men in the 2026 United States midterm elections, then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this market, a party “wins” men if it receives the higher reported share among that group in the national U.S. House exit poll. If the relevant parties are tied, each tied strike will receive 1/N of the Settlement Value, where N is the number of tied strikes. CNN is the primary resolution source, using the applicable figure displayed at Nov 6, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. If the figure is unavailable at that time, CNN will remain the primary source for 24 additional hours. After that, CBS and then ABC will be used, in that order, through Nov 7, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Midterms: which party wins men?: Will Democrats win men in the exit poll? Democratic partyKalshi81% NoOpen

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As of Sep 30, 01:18 PM UTC