KalshiOpen

Midterms: Republican share of voters 18-29?: Will Republicans receive above 34% of the vote among voters aged 18-29 in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?

No65%
Above 34%36%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
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Spread9%
ResolvesFeb 6, 2027in 4 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 25Sep 26Sep 27Sep 28Sep 30Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the Republican share of the vote among voters aged 18-29 in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll is above 34%, then the market resolves to Yes. The value is the percentage shown in the Republican (or Rep.) column of the aggregate 18-29 age row, not a row further divided by race or gender, in the national U.S. House exit poll table. The primary resolution source is the CNN figure displayed at exactly 12:00 PM ET on November 6, 2026. If unavailable, CNN remains the primary source for 24 hours after that time. If it remains unavailable, use CBS News followed by ABC News through 11:59 PM ET on November 7, 2026.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Midterms: Republican share of voters 18-29?: Will Republicans receive above 44% of the vote among voters aged 18-29 in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?Kalshi93% NoOpen
Midterms: Republican share of voters 18-29?: Will Republicans receive above 36% of the vote among voters aged 18-29 in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?Kalshi71% NoOpen
Midterms: Republican share of voters 18-29?: Will Republicans receive above 42% of the vote among voters aged 18-29 in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?Kalshi88% NoOpen
Midterms: Republican share of voters 18-29?: Will Republicans receive above 38% of the vote among voters aged 18-29 in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?Kalshi77% NoOpen
Midterms: Republican share of voters 18-29?: Will Republicans receive above 40% of the vote among voters aged 18-29 in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?Kalshi82% NoOpen
Midterms: Republican share of voters 18-29?: Will Republicans receive above 32% of the vote among voters aged 18-29 in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?Kalshi52% Above 32%Open
Midterms: Republican share of voters 18-29?: Will Republicans receive above 30% of the vote among voters aged 18-29 in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?Kalshi69% Above 30%Open
Midterms: Republican share of voters 18-29?: Will Republicans receive above 28% of the vote among voters aged 18-29 in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?Kalshi85% Above 28%Open

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As of Sep 30, 06:37 AM UTC