PolymarketOpen

Lukas vs. Oktiabreva: Match O/U 23.5

Over50%
Under50%

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ResolvesOct 2, 20262 hours ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 24Sep 26Sep 28Sep 30Oct 2Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Tena Lukas and Alisa Oktiabreva in the W35 Santa Margherita di Pula, originally scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed equals or exceeds 24. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks, including any Champions/Super tiebreak, count as one (1) game. If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution. If the match is permanently abandoned before completion, or if the match has not been completed by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered unconditionally determined if it would have been guaranteed under every possible completion of the match played according to the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round, including whether a final set is played as a full set or as a match tiebreak. For example, for a line of 21.5, if play stops at 6-3, 5-6, completing the match would have required at least 2 additional games, resulting in at least 22 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome. Likewise, if the published format replaces the final set with a match tiebreak, that tiebreak counts as one (1) game, so for a line of 22.5, if play stops at 6-2, 3-3, the match could have reached at most 22 games and "Under" would resolve as the winning outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be official ITF statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sourcehttps://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula, Main Draw: Completed Match: Tena Lukas vs Alisa OktiabrevaPolymarket100% NoOpen
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula: Tena Lukas vs Alisa OktiabrevaPolymarket100% Alisa OktiabrevaOpen
Lukas vs. Oktiabreva: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Set Handicap: Alisa Oktiabreva (-1.5) vs Tena Lukas (+1.5)Polymarket50% Alisa OktiabrevaOpen
Lukas vs. Oktiabreva: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Set Handicap: Tena Lukas (-1.5) vs Alisa Oktiabreva (+1.5)Polymarket100% Alisa OktiabrevaOpen
Lukas vs. Oktiabreva: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Lukas vs. Oktiabreva: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Set 2 Winner: Tena Lukas vs Alisa OktiabrevaPolymarket50% Alisa OktiabrevaOpen
Set 1 Winner: Tena Lukas vs Alisa OktiabrevaPolymarket100% Alisa OktiabrevaOpen
Lukas vs. Oktiabreva: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Tena Lukas vs. Alisa Oktiabreva: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket50% Under 2.5Open
Lukas vs. Oktiabreva: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Lukas vs. Oktiabreva: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Lukas vs. Oktiabreva: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen

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As of Oct 2, 09:34 AM UTC