Will voter turnout in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 80-82%?
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Probability history
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Resolution rules
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate in the first round of the specified election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://sig.tse.jus.br/ords/dwapr/r/seai/sig-eleicao-resultados/home-comparecimento-votacao?p0_ano=2022). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be official information published by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will voter turnout in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 76-78%? | Polymarket | 57% No | Open |
| Will voter turnout in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be less than 76%? | Polymarket | 87% No | Open |
| Will voter turnout in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 82% or more? | Polymarket | 96% No | Open |
| Will voter turnout in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 78-80%? | Polymarket | 59% No | Open |
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As of Sep 30, 05:18 PM UTC