Next Fed rate cut?: Will the Federal Reserve cut rates by June 30, 2028? Before July 2028
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If the Federal Open Market Committee announces a reduction in the target range for the federal funds rate at least once after market Issuance and on or before June 30, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. The announcement must occur after market issuance and by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. The announcement date controls, regardless of when the reduction takes effect. Announcements outside regularly scheduled FOMC meetings count. Each deadline is evaluated separately. A qualifying announcement may cause multiple markets to resolve to Yes.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Next Fed rate cut?: Will the Federal Reserve cut rates by December 31, 2027? Before 2028 | Kalshi | 58% No | Open |
| Next Fed rate cut?: Will the Federal Reserve cut rates by December 31, 2028? Before 2029 | Kalshi | 77% Before 2029 | Open |
| Next Fed rate cut?: Will the Federal Reserve cut rates by December 31, 2026? Before 2027 | Kalshi | 97% No | Open |
| Next Fed rate cut?: Will the Federal Reserve cut rates by June 30, 2027? Before July 2027 | Kalshi | 80% No | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Sep 30, 07:20 AM UTC