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British Columbia general election winner?: Will BC NDP win the 2026 British Columbia general election?

BC NDP54%
No46%

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Spread2%
ResolvesNov 7, 2026next month

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 24Sep 25Sep 26Sep 28Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If BC NDP wins the 2026 British Columbia general election, then the market resolves to Yes. For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

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As of Sep 29, 11:15 PM UTC