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Who will be British Columbia's Premier after the election?: Will Brenda Bailey become Premier of British Columbia following the 2026 British Columbia general election?

No99%
Brenda Bailey1%

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ResolvesOct 24, 2027next year

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 24Sep 25Sep 27Sep 28Sep 30Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Brenda Bailey becomes Premier of British Columbia as a result of government formation following the 2026 British Columbia general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Oct 24, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Premier according to British Columbia's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the Legislative Assembly, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government). If no government forms by Oct 24, 2027, the Contract resolves to "No one" if that is an option and No for all other strikes. If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to "No one" immediately and No for all other strikes. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

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As of Sep 30, 04:13 AM UTC