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Lean R Senate Race Combo: which states will Republicans win?: Will Republicans win South Carolina?

No85%
South Carolina15%

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24h volume$210
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread6%
ResolvesJan 7, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 24Sep 25Sep 26Sep 28Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If a candidate other than a Republican in Nebraska's U.S. Senate election, a candidate other than a Republican in Kansas's U.S. Senate election, and a Republican candidate in South Carolina's U.S. Senate election win their respective November 3, 2026 elections, then the market resolves to Yes. A Republican candidate is a candidate listed with the Republican Party label on the general election ballot. Any other winner, including an independent, is a candidate other than a Republican. This market is eligible for accelerated determination two days after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. The full rules provide further details.

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As of Sep 29, 10:23 PM UTC