Will "Top Gun: Maverick" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
Price checked at
The latest price check failed. Showing the last known prices.
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 29, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Riot" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will "The Seemingly Perfect Family" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will "The Whisper Man" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will "Best of the Best" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will "Unabomber" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | Polymarket | 100% Yes | Open |
| Will "The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will "A Minecraft Movie" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will "Why Did I Get Married Again?" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will "Knock at the Cabin" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue this minuteDiscussion on Predxy
What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.Sign in to join the discussion.
Nobody has said anything here yet.
As of Sep 29, 10:08 PM UTC