PolymarketOpen

Will Aieza Bertolso win in Round 1?

No50%
Yes50%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$8.2
Spread94%
ResolvesSep 30, 2026in 5 hours

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 23Sep 25Sep 26Sep 28Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Aieza Bertolso defeats Camila Reynoso at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 8, scheduled for September 29, 2026, by KO, TKO, or submission that ends the fight in Round 1, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." A stoppage between rounds, including a doctor or corner stoppage, counts as ending in the round that has just been completed. If the fight is won in a different round, is won by decision, ends in a draw, or is won by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 13, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Sourcehttps://www.ufc.com/events

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Polymarket78% NoOpen
Will the fight be won by decision?Polymarket50% NoOpen
Will Camila Reynoso win in Round 2?Polymarket50% NoOpen
Will Aieza Bertolso win in Round 2?Polymarket50% NoOpen
Will the fight end in a decision or draw?Polymarket50% YesOpen
O/U 1.5 RoundsPolymarket50% UnderOpen
Will Camila Reynoso win in Round 3?Polymarket50% NoOpen
O/U 0.5 RoundsPolymarket50% UnderOpen
Will the fight end before Round 3?Polymarket50% NoOpen
Will Aieza Bertolso win in Round 3?Polymarket50% YesOpen
Will the fight be won by submission?Polymarket58% NoOpen
Will Camila Reynoso win by KO or TKO?Polymarket95% NoOpen
Will Camila Reynoso win in Round 1?Polymarket50% NoOpen
Will the fight end before Round 2?Polymarket50% YesOpen
O/U 2.5 RoundsPolymarket54% UnderOpen
Dana White's Contender Series: Camila Reynoso vs. Aieza Bertolso (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)Polymarket83% Aieza BertolsoOpen
Fight to Go the Distance?Polymarket65% NoOpen
Will Aieza Bertolso win by KO or TKO?Polymarket83% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Sep 29, 11:20 PM UTC