Will Brian Schatz be the next US Senate Minority Leader?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the individual who is chosen to be the first Senate Minority Leader in the Congress that convenes after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. If no Senate Minority Leader is chosen by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source will be official information from the United States Senate or official announcements from the caucus organization of the relevant party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mark Kelly be the next US Senate Minority Leader? | Polymarket | 93% No | Open |
| Will Tom Cotton be the next US Senate Minority Leader? | Polymarket | 89% No | Open |
| Will John Barrasso be the next US Senate Minority Leader? | Polymarket | 91% No | Open |
| Will Rick Scott be the next US Senate Minority Leader? | Polymarket | 95% No | Open |
| Will Patty Murray be the next US Senate Minority Leader? | Polymarket | 95% No | Open |
| Will Cory Booker be the next US Senate Minority Leader? | Polymarket | 97% No | Open |
| Will John Thune be the next US Senate Minority Leader? | Polymarket | 53% No | Open |
| Will Chuck Schumer be the next US Senate Minority Leader? | Polymarket | 69% No | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Sep 29, 10:58 PM UTC