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Bank of Thailand rate decision in October: Will the Bank of Thailand hike 1-25bps at the October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting?

No94%
Hike 1-25bps6%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
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Spread5%
ResolvesOct 28, 2026in 29 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 23Sep 25Sep 26Sep 28Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the Bank of Thailand takes the action of hike 1-25bps at its October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "Maintain current rate" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.

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As of Sep 29, 10:20 PM UTC