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National Book Award for Poetry: Will We win Poetry at the 77th National Book Awards?

No75%
We25%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
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Spread92%
ResolvesNov 19, 2026in 2 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 23Sep 25Sep 26Sep 28Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If 'We' wins the award for Poetry at the 77th National Book Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. The 77th National Book Awards is scheduled to take place Wednesday, November 18, 2026 at 8:00 PM EST

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As of Sep 29, 11:00 PM UTC