MyriadResolved

Will “Hate That I Made You Love Me” by Ariana Grande win Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?

No100%
Yes0%

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 23Sep 25Sep 27Sep 28Sep 30

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

### **Market Dates:** - **Market Period:** From the publication date until September 27, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. - **Market Close:** September 27, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, before the official winner is announced. - **Resolution Time:** Determined after the official announcement of the Video of the Year winner. ### **Resolution Criteria:** - Resolves to the video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year, provided they are listed as an outcome. ### **Resolution Details:** - The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g. [mtv.com/vma](http://mtv.com/vma)) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used. - In case of overall cancellation or if for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No" for all listed outcomes. - In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. ### **Cancellation Conditions:** - The ceremony is not held or no Video of the Year award is presented. - The official result cannot be reliably verified through MTV or credible reporting. In the event of cancellation, participants can claim their stakes at the then-current market value of their shares, which could result in a profit or a loss depending on the price of those shares at cancellation.

Sourcehttps://www.mtv.com/vma

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As of Sep 30, 05:27 PM UTC