KalshiOpen

Number of tornadoes in Oct 2026?: Will there be more than 175 tornadoes in October? Above 175

No84%
Above 17516%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread27%
ResolvesNov 1, 2026next month

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 22Sep 24Sep 26Sep 28Sep 30Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the preliminary number of tornadoes in Oct is above 175 , then the market resolves to Yes. The number of tornadoes will be determined by the "Storm Reports Legend" shown in the bottom left corner of the "Preliminary Report Summary."

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As of Sep 30, 03:46 PM UTC