PolymarketOpen

1H Spread: Raiders (-10.5)

Chiefs57%
Raiders43%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$707.4
Spread82%
ResolvesOct 4, 2026in 5 days

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 22Sep 24Sep 26Sep 28Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

In the first half of the NFL game between Chiefs and Raiders, scheduled for October 4 at 4:25 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Raiders" if the Raiders outscore the Chiefs by 11 or more points in the first half. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Chiefs". Only points scored during that period count; overtime is not included. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Sourcehttps://www.nfl.com/scores

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Chiefs vs Raiders: total O/U 24.5Polymarket93% OverOpen
Chiefs vs Raiders: total O/U 22.5Polymarket86% OverOpen
Chiefs vs Raiders: total O/U 28.5Polymarket95% OverOpen
Chiefs vs Raiders: total O/U 30.5Polymarket93% OverOpen
Chiefs vs Raiders: total O/U 26.5Polymarket96% OverOpen
Chiefs vs Raiders: total O/U 36.5Polymarket83% OverOpen
Chiefs vs Raiders: total O/U 38.5Polymarket78% OverOpen
Chiefs vs Raiders: total O/U 50.5Polymarket59% UnderOpen
Chiefs vs Raiders: total O/U 52.5Polymarket65% UnderOpen
Chiefs vs Raiders: total O/U 58.5Polymarket81% UnderOpen
Chiefs vs Raiders: total O/U 62.5Polymarket87% UnderOpen
Chiefs 1H Team Total: O/U 16.5Polymarket68% UnderOpen
Raiders 2H Team Total: O/U 20.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Chiefs 1H Team Total: O/U 12.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Chiefs vs Raiders: spread: Raiders (-16.5)Polymarket93% ChiefsOpen
Chiefs vs Raiders: spread: Raiders (-13.5)Polymarket94% ChiefsOpen
Chiefs vs Raiders: spread: Chiefs (-16.5)Polymarket83% RaidersOpen
Chiefs 2H Team Total: O/U 19.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
2H Spread: Chiefs (-7.5)Polymarket50% ChiefsOpen
2H Spread: Chiefs (-17.5)Polymarket50% RaidersOpen
Chiefs vs Raiders: 1st half total O/U 19.5Polymarket76% OverOpen
4Q Spread: Chiefs (-14.5)Polymarket51% ChiefsOpen
Chiefs vs Raiders: total O/U 64.5Polymarket90% UnderOpen
4Q Spread: Raiders (-14.5)Polymarket50% ChiefsOpen
4Q Spread: Chiefs (-6.5)Polymarket50% ChiefsOpen

Venue activity

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Held value—
Trades (24h)—
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As of Sep 29, 08:24 PM UTC