PolymarketOpen

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 17, 2026?

No98%
Yes2%

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24h volume$10
7d volume$516.1
30d volume$516.1
Liquidity$605.2
Spread2%
ResolvesOct 17, 2026in 18 days

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 16, 2026?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 13, 2026?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 2, 2026?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 24, 2026?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 23, 2026?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?Polymarket80% NoOpen
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 8, 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 11, 2026?Polymarket92% NoOpen
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 28, 2026?Polymarket92% NoOpen
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 10, 2026?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 30, 2026?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 26, 2026?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 5, 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 9, 2026?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 20, 2026?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 19, 2026?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 12, 2026?Polymarket84% NoOpen
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 3, 2026?Polymarket97% NoOpen
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 6, 2026?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 4, 2026?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 29, 2026?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 22, 2026?Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 21, 2026?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 25, 2026?Polymarket95% NoOpen
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 27, 2026?Polymarket99% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Sep 29, 10:12 PM UTC