Will the Union of Greens and Farmers (ZZS) win seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary elections?
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Probability history
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Resolution rules
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026. Each market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified party receives at least one seat in the Latvian Saeima as a result of the 2026 Latvian parliamentary elections. Otherwise that market will resolve to "No". Seats will be counted only where they are attributed to the specified party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to "No". Each market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centrālā vēlēšanu komisija, CVK) (https://www.cvk.lv/).
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Rising Sun for Latvia (ASL) win seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary elections? | Polymarket | 93% No | Open |
| Will the For Stability! (ST!) win seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary elections? | Polymarket | 83% No | Open |
| Will the National Alliance (NA) win seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary elections? | Polymarket | 97% Yes | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Sep 30, 01:52 AM UTC