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Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 9, 2026?

No84%
Yes17%

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24h volume$8.4K
7d volume$11.9K
30d volume$11.9K
Liquidity$4.2K
Spread1%
ResolvesOct 16, 2026in 16 days

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

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Comments12

Discussion on Predxy

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12 comments

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  • mvaulina57 · 29 days ago

    any rumors?

  • Harmful-Gosling · 2 months ago

    any reference?

  • dabitron · 2 months ago

    gemini 3.5 pro leaked in lmarena

  • lamyk · 2 months ago

    ncw buy my shares please or sell into my order, 58c y, 42c n, both ok. i need this.

  • Klutzy-Comma · 3 months ago

    gemini pro is realeseing on july 24 lol

  • Bogus-Killing · 3 months ago

    you are not a leaker sonion its being delayed because they had to completely redo the ground work. being it was trained on an older model. more modern leaks show it mogs fable

  • stray23 · 3 months ago

    I believe you`re wrong. See the

  • Mikelious · 3 months ago

    Leaker: "3.5 pro is delayed because of the current "model threat" situation, or because internal 3.5 pro still doesn't match or beat 5.6 sol or fable 5"

  • Mikelious · 3 months ago

    Gemini is in worst place out of the other two (GPT and Claude). Don't lose your money kids their model will probably only release on August.

  • Natural-Anchovy · 3 months ago

    Leaks talking about a delayed release cause the model sucks

  • tbkboss · 3 months ago

    Google ai ppl leaving maybe? Idk

  • iForgor · 3 months ago

    What happened?

As of Sep 29, 11:19 PM UTC