Will the APT tungsten price (SMM-WU-APT-001) be above $60,000/tonne on Oct 30, 2026?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If the daily average price of APT tungsten (SMM-WU-APT-001) as published by Shanghai Metals Market (SMM) at 5:00 PM ET on Oct 30, 2026 is above $60,000/tonne, then the market resolves to Yes. This market resolves based on the daily average price of APT tungsten (SMM-WU-APT-001) as published by Shanghai Metals Market (SMM). The governing value is the Average figure SMM publishes for the assessment dated 5:00 PM ET on Oct 30, 2026, which is the midpoint of SMM's assessed High and Low for that day; the High and Low do not themselves govern. The price is taken in USD per tonne exactly as published by SMM, with no conversion or adjustment by Kalshi. SMM publishes on Chinese business days; if no assessment is published for the specified date, the COMMODITIES rules on missing and delayed publications apply. Kalshi is not affiliated with Shanghai Metals Market.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMM APT tungsten price (SMM-WU-APT-001) on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the APT tungsten price (SMM-WU-APT-001) be above $70,000/tonne on Oct 30, 2026? | Kalshi | 69% Above $70,000/tonne | Open |
| Will the APT tungsten price (SMM-WU-APT-001) be above $75,000/tonne on Oct 30, 2026? | Kalshi | 57% No | Open |
| Will the APT tungsten price (SMM-WU-APT-001) be above $80,000/tonne on Oct 30, 2026? | Kalshi | 84% No | Open |
| Will the APT tungsten price (SMM-WU-APT-001) be above $50,000/tonne on Oct 30, 2026? | Kalshi | 92% Above $50,000/tonne | Open |
| Will the APT tungsten price (SMM-WU-APT-001) be above $65,000/tonne on Oct 30, 2026? | Kalshi | 80% Above $65,000/tonne | Open |
| SMM APT tungsten price (SMM-WU-APT-001) on Oct 30, 2026?: Will the APT tungsten price (SMM-WU-APT-001) be above $40,000/tonne on Oct 30, 2026? | Kalshi | 98% Above $40,000/tonne | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Oct 2, 05:16 AM UTC