KalshiOpen

2027 Toyota RAV4 starting MSRP above $32,000?

Above $32,00095%
No5%

Price checked at

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread3%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 22Sep 24Sep 26Sep 28Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the first official, non-preliminary U.S. starting MSRP of the 2027 Toyota RAV4, published by Toyota after Issuance and before January 1, 2027 under the specified textual price label Starting MSRP, is above $32,000, then the market resolves to Yes. Starting MSRP means the manufacturer-published price for the model’s lowest-priced U.S. retail configuration, explicitly identified as "Starting MSRP" on its official U.S. model page, pricing announcement, or price sheet. Pricing for higher trims alone does not qualify. Prices are in USD, excluding destination/delivery charges, duties, taxes, registration, dealer fees, and optional equipment, and without applying rebates, incentives, tax credits, or discounts. The event will close and resolve upon qualifying publication, without waiting until the announcement cutoff. Later price changes, corrections, and revisions are ignored. Estimates, third-party prices, and prices for other model years do not qualify. If no qualifying price is published within the specified window, all markets resolve No. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Toyota. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
2027 Toyota RAV4 starting MSRP above $34,000?Kalshi97% NoOpen
2027 Toyota RAV4 starting MSRP above $33,000?Kalshi83% NoOpen
2027 Toyota RAV4 starting MSRP above $32,500?Kalshi62% NoOpen
2027 Toyota RAV4 starting MSRP above $31,000?Kalshi99% Above $31,000Open
2027 Toyota RAV4 starting MSRP above $31,500?Kalshi99% Above $31,500Open
2027 Toyota RAV4 starting MSRP above $35,000?Kalshi99% NoOpen
2027 Toyota RAV4 starting MSRP above $34,500?Kalshi99% NoOpen
2027 Toyota RAV4 starting MSRP above $33,500?Kalshi93% NoOpen

Venue activity

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Held value—
Trades (24h)—
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As of Sep 29, 11:15 PM UTC