KalshiOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Michigan wins the 1st half Michigan wins 1st Half

Michigan wins 1st Half55%

No45%

Price checked at Oct 1, 11:18 PM UTC

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24h volume$270

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread2%

ResolvesOct 3, 2026in 2 days

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Michigan wins the 1st half of the Michigan vs Minnesota college football game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Note: Only points scored during the 1st half of play count towards this market. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

2 venues carry it

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Comparable, not identical. Polymarket specifies a 50-50 resolution for a first-half tie or a canceled game, while Kalshi uses its fair-price rule if the game does not start within 48 hours; Kalshi does not publish a resolution source. These are resolution-rule differences, not differences in the event being measured.

PolymarketOpen →
Michigan vs Minnesota: 1st half: Michigan wins
In the first half of the college football game between Michigan and Minnesota, scheduled for October 3 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Michigan" if Michigan outscore Minnesota in the first half. This market will resolve to "Minnesota" if Minnesota outscore Michigan in the first half. If both teams score the same number of points in the first half, this market will resolve 50-50. Only points scored during that period count; overtime is not included. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Kalshithis market
Michigan wins the 1st half Michigan wins 1st Half
If Michigan wins the 1st half of the Michigan vs Minnesota college football game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Note: Only points scored during the 1st half of play count towards this market. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Minnesota wins the 1st half Minnesota wins 1st Half	Kalshi	65% No	$8.1	—	—	Open
Tie in the 1st half Tie 1st Half	Kalshi	91% No	$0.5	—	—	Open

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As of Oct 1, 11:34 PM UTC