PolymarketOpen
Clavicular in jail by October 31?
No93%
Yes7%
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Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$6.5K
Spread2%
ResolvesNov 1, 2026next month
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Braden Eric Peters (known as Clavicular) serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Clavicular in jail by September 30? | Polymarket | 99% No | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Sep 30, 11:40 PM UTC