Will the S&P 500 be above 7794.9999 on Sep 22, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,795 or above
Price has not been independently checked yet.
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
No recorded data before Sep 22 in this window.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If the S&P 500 index value on Sep 22, 2026 at 10am EDT is above 7794.9999, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will close on September 22, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after September 22, 2026. Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.Venue activity
Read from the venue this minuteDiscussion on Predxy
What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.Sign in to join the discussion.
Nobody has said anything here yet.
As of Sep 30, 11:05 PM UTC