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Will Putin visit the U.S. in 2026?: Will Vladimir Putin visit the United States before Jan 1, 2027? Yes

No70%
Yes30%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread5%
ResolvesJan 8, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 22Sep 24Sep 25Sep 27Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Vladimir Putin visits the United States of America after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. The following do NOT constitute a visit: Flying over the area without landing Layovers during which the person remains in an airplane Virtual or remote appearances Presence in international waters adjacent to the area Presence solely within embassy or consulate grounds Plans, announcements, or scheduling of future visits that do not occur during the applicable time period For the avoidance of doubt, a visit occurs only when the person exits an aircraft, vehicle, vessel, or train within the area, or otherwise physically enters the area not aboard one. Remaining aboard, including during flyovers, drive-throughs, and non-exit refueling stops, does not constitute a visit. Exiting within the area constitutes a visit regardless of duration or method of exit. Physical presence within the geographic boundaries is required. For countries, internationally recognized borders apply, and international airports are considered within their host jurisdiction. Evidence must be reported by at least one Source Agency and may include official announcements, news reports with specific location details, verified photographs or videos at identifiable locations, flight records showing arrival, completed official schedules, or posts from official accounts. Visits that began before market issuance do not count.

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As of Sep 29, 09:32 PM UTC