Holborn and St Pancras by-election: 3rd place: Will Green Party finish 3rd in the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election?

If the certified results place Green Party in 3rd place in the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election, then the market resolves to Yes. Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage In case of an exact tie for third place, markets resolve to $1/(number of tied entities), rounded down. A write-in candidate achieving the specified rank resolves all named candidate or party markets to NO unless a specific "Write-in" or "Other" market exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. Resolution follows the London Borough of Camden's final certified result, not preliminary election-night results. If an unlisted party or unlisted independent candidate finishes third, every listed market resolves NO. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond Oct 8, 2026, or no certified results are available by expiration, all markets resolve NO.