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Will Saxony-Anhalt call a snap election in 2026?: Will Saxony-Anhalt call a snap election before Jan 1, 2027? Yes

No74%
Yes26%

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24h volume$0
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Spread9%
ResolvesJan 8, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 22Sep 24Sep 26Sep 28Sep 30Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Saxony-Anhalt officially calls a snap state election after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Only reporting from Bloomberg News, Reuters, MDR, or Volksstimme qualifies. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify unless the new publication explicitly reaffirms the truth of the topic as of its publication date. Republishing of content from other sources qualifies only if hosted on the outlet’s official platform with that outlet identified as publisher. A snap election is one called to occur at least 90 days earlier than either the previously scheduled election date or the latest date legally required. The announcement must be made by a person or body with the legal authority to call the election. An official act that legally requires a new Landtag election within 60 days qualifies even if the election date is fixed later. This market concerns a new election to the Saxony-Anhalt Landtag following the regular September 6, 2026 election. Coalition negotiations, failed coalition talks, and certification of the regular election do not constitute an official call. The qualifying report must originally be transmitted or reported in English.

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As of Sep 30, 10:59 PM UTC