Will Alex Karp attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?
Price checked at
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
Xi Jinping is scheduled to begin a state visit to the United States around September 24, 2026, during which Donald Trump is expected to host a state dinner for him at the White House. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is confirmed to have attended the White House state dinner held for Xi Jinping between market creation and October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the state dinner is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the state dinner. A qualifying state dinner must both occur and be known to have occurred within the specified timeframe. Attendance at a state dinner which occurred before market creation will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tim Cook attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping? | Polymarket | 100% Yes | Open |
| Will Elon Musk attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping? | Polymarket | 100% Yes | Open |
| Will Sam Altman attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping? | Polymarket | 100% Yes | Open |
| Will Sundar Pichai attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping? | Polymarket | 100% Yes | Open |
| Will Satya Nadella attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping? | Polymarket | 100% Yes | Open |
| Will Jensen Huang attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping? | Polymarket | 100% Yes | Open |
| Will Mark Zuckerberg attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping? | Polymarket | 100% Yes | Open |
| Will John Ternus attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping? | Polymarket | 99% No | Open |
| Will Dario Amodei attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping? | Polymarket | 99% No | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue this minuteDiscussion on Predxy
What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.Sign in to join the discussion.
Nobody has said anything here yet.
As of Sep 30, 02:21 AM UTC