California vs UNLV: spread: UNLV (-3.5)

California57%
UNLV44%

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24h volume$199
7d volume$199
30d volume$199
Liquidity$16.1K
Spread2%
ResolvesOct 3, 2026in 2 days

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 3 at 3:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "UNLV" if UNLV win the game by 4 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "California". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Sourcehttps://www.ncaa.com/

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. Kalshi uses the official final result and may fair-value the market if the game does not begin within 48 hours; Polymarket keeps it open until completion and resolves 50-50 if canceled without a makeup game. Polymarket cites NCAA.com, while Kalshi specifies no resolution source.
  • KalshiOpen →

    UNLV wins by over 3.5 points

    If UNLV wins by more than 3.5 points in the California vs UNLV college football game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    read Sep 30, 03:32 PM UTC

  • Polymarketthis market

    California vs UNLV: spread: UNLV (-3.5)

    In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 3 at 3:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "UNLV" if UNLV win the game by 4 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "California". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
California vs UNLV: 1st half total O/U 24.5Polymarket52% OverOpen
California vs UNLV: spread: UNLV (-13.5)Polymarket79% CaliforniaOpen
California vs. UNLV: Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1Polymarket50% YesOpen
California vs. UNLV: Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2Polymarket50% NoOpen
California Total Receptions: O/U 14.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
California Total Receptions: O/U 24.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
California Total Receptions: O/U 19.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
California Total First Downs: O/U 21.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
UNLV Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
UNLV Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
UNLV Total Receptions: O/U 14.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
California vs. UNLV: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
California vs. UNLV: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
California vs. UNLV: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
California vs. UNLV: Pick-Six ScoredPolymarket50% YesOpen
California vs. UNLV: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
UNLV Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
UNLV Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
UNLV Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5Polymarket51% OverOpen
California Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
California Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
UNLV Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
California Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
UNLV Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
UNLV Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 1, 01:48 PM UTC