UCF vs Houston: spread: UCF (-1.5)

Houston81%
UCF19%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$3.7K
Spread2%
ResolvesOct 3, 2026in 2 days

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 3 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "UCF" if UCF win the game by 2 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Houston". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Sourcehttps://www.ncaa.com/

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. The venues differ in postponement and cancellation handling: Kalshi uses a 48-hour start window and then a fair-price resolution, while Polymarket stays open until completion and resolves 50-50 if canceled without a makeup game. They also list different resolution times and sources, but these do not change the underlying question.
  • KalshiOpen →

    UCF vs Houston: Spread: spread: UCF (-1.5)

    If UCF wins by more than 1.5 points in the UCF vs Houston college football game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    read Sep 30, 03:15 AM UTC

  • Polymarketthis market

    UCF vs Houston: spread: UCF (-1.5)

    In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 3 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "UCF" if UCF win the game by 2 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Houston". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
UCF vs Houston: 2nd half total O/U 27.5Polymarket53% OverOpen
UCF vs Houston: 2nd half total O/U 33.5Polymarket51% OverOpen
UCF vs Houston: total O/U 65.5Polymarket75% UnderOpen
UCF vs Houston: total O/U 73.5Polymarket81% UnderOpen
UCF vs Houston: total O/U 67.5Polymarket76% UnderOpen
UCF vs Houston: spread: Houston (-8.5)Polymarket59% HoustonOpen
UCF vs Houston: spread: Houston (-7.5)Polymarket60% HoustonOpen
UCF vs Houston: spread: Houston (-0.5)Polymarket80% HoustonOpen
UCF vs Houston: spread: UCF (-0.5)Polymarket80% HoustonOpen
UCF vs Houston: spread: UCF (-5.5)Polymarket89% HoustonOpen
UCF 2H Team Total: O/U 15.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
UCF vs Houston: spread: UCF (-13.5)Polymarket97% HoustonOpen
Houston 2H Team Total: O/U 14.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
UCF vs Houston: spread: UCF (-14.5)Polymarket51% HoustonOpen
UCF 2H Team Total: O/U 13.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Houston Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Houston Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
UCF 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Houston 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Houston Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
UCF Total Receptions: O/U 19.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
UCF Total First Downs: O/U 21.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Houston Total First Downs: O/U 23.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
UCF vs. Houston: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
UCF vs. Houston: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5Polymarket50% OverOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 1, 05:50 AM UTC