Michigan vs Minnesota: spread: Minnesota (-2.5)

Michigan71%
Minnesota30%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$5K
Spread3%
ResolvesOct 3, 2026in 2 days

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 3 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Minnesota" if Minnesota win the game by 3 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Michigan". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Sourcehttps://www.ncaa.com/

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. Kalshi uses an official final result and may fair-price the market if the game does not start within 48 hours; Polymarket keeps it open until completion and resolves canceled games 50-50. They also list different resolution times and Polymarket names NCAA.com as its source.
  • KalshiOpen →

    Minnesota wins by over 2.5 points

    If Minnesota wins by more than 2.5 points in the Michigan vs Minnesota college football game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    read Oct 1, 01:10 AM UTC

  • Polymarketthis market

    Michigan vs Minnesota: spread: Minnesota (-2.5)

    In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 3 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Minnesota" if Minnesota win the game by 3 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Michigan". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Michigan vs Minnesota: 1st half total O/U 27.5Polymarket60% UnderOpen
Minnesota 1H Team Total: O/U 12.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Michigan vs. Minnesota: Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1HPolymarket50% YesOpen
Michigan vs. Minnesota: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Michigan Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Michigan Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Minnesota Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Minnesota Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Michigan Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Michigan Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Minnesota Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Minnesota Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Michigan Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Michigan 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Minnesota Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Michigan Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Minnesota Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Michigan Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Minnesota Total First Downs: O/U 23.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Michigan vs. Minnesota: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
2H Spread: Michigan (-5.5)Polymarket50% MichiganOpen
2H Spread: Michigan (-1.5)Polymarket50% MinnesotaOpen
Michigan vs. Minnesota: 2Q MoneylinePolymarket50% MichiganOpen
Michigan vs. Minnesota: 1Q MoneylinePolymarket51% MinnesotaOpen
Michigan vs. Minnesota: 3Q MoneylinePolymarket51% MinnesotaOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 1, 11:03 PM UTC