Merrimack vs Yale: spread: Merrimack (-1.5)

Yale85%
Merrimack15%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$756.9
Spread30%
ResolvesOct 3, 2026in 2 days

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 3 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Merrimack" if Merrimack win the game by 2 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Yale". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Sourcehttps://www.ncaa.com/

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. Kalshi keeps the market open only if a postponement begins within 48 hours and otherwise uses a fair-price resolution; Polymarket keeps it open until completion and resolves a fully canceled game 50-50. Their listed resolution times also differ, which does not change the question.
  • KalshiOpen →

    Merrimack vs Yale: Spread: spread: Merrimack (-1.5)

    If Merrimack wins by more than 1.5 points in the Merrimack vs Yale college football game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

  • Polymarketthis market

    Merrimack vs Yale: spread: Merrimack (-1.5)

    In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 3 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Merrimack" if Merrimack win the game by 2 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Yale". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Merrimack vs Yale: Merrimack winsPolymarket83% YaleOpen
Merrimack vs Yale: spread: Yale (-3.5)Polymarket50% MerrimackOpen
Merrimack vs Yale: spread: Merrimack (-10.5)Polymarket50% YaleOpen
Merrimack vs Yale: spread: Merrimack (-3.5)Polymarket50% MerrimackOpen
Merrimack vs Yale: spread: Merrimack (-5.5)Polymarket88% YaleOpen
Merrimack vs Yale: spread: Merrimack (-14.5)Polymarket51% YaleOpen
Merrimack vs Yale: total O/U 53.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Merrimack vs Yale: total O/U 61.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Merrimack vs Yale: total O/U 55.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Merrimack vs Yale: spread: Yale (-1.5)Polymarket51% MerrimackOpen
Merrimack vs Yale: total O/U 59.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Merrimack vs Yale: spread: Yale (-5.5)Polymarket51% YaleOpen
Merrimack vs Yale: spread: Yale (-7.5)Polymarket60% YaleOpen
Merrimack vs Yale: total O/U 57.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Merrimack vs Yale: spread: Merrimack (-7.5)Polymarket51% YaleOpen
Merrimack vs Yale: total O/U 51.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Merrimack vs Yale: spread: Yale (-14.5)Polymarket53% MerrimackOpen
Merrimack vs Yale: spread: Yale (-10.5)Polymarket57% YaleOpen
Merrimack vs Yale: total O/U 49.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Merrimack vs Yale: 2nd half: Merrimack winsPolymarket50% YaleOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 1, 02:59 PM UTC