LimitlessResolved

S&P 500 ETF (SPY) Up or Down - Daily

No100%
Yes0%

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This market has settled. The prices shown are final.
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ResolvesSep 22, 20267 days ago

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 21, 07:01 PMSep 22, 05:34 AMSep 22, 04:06 PMSep 23, 02:38 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Up" if the price for S&P 500 ETF (Pyth SPY/USD) on September 22, 2026 is strictly higher than the price for S&P 500 ETF (Pyth SPY/USD) on the most recent prior trading day. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The price for S&P 500 ETF (Pyth SPY/USD) captured on September 21, 2026 was $773.46288. Resolution source: Pyth SPY/USD price feed. Other exchanges, spot markets, and oracles will not be used. For example, a Monday market would ordinarily compare Monday's price with the previous Friday's price, unless that Friday was a market holiday. In that case, it would compare against Thursday's price, or the next most recent trading day. If S&P 500 ETF (SPY) does not trade at all during the regular session on September 22, 2026, this market will resolve to "Down". For a standard full trading session, the price for that trading day refers to the Pyth price at the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either relevant trading day has no valid Pyth price at the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the last valid Pyth price published during that day's regular trading hours will be used as the effective price for that day. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which SPY is listed will be used to determine the price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting SPY during the relevant time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.

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As of Sep 30, 06:33 AM UTC